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Friday, May 23, 2008

Calhoun’s Cannons, The Bay News, Tolosa Press, SLO, CA for May 22, 08


Three Five Oh

If it were three six oh, it would be a complete circle. The last would be first, the first last, Alpha and Omega, the end as beginning, the beginning coming to an end.

The 350 in question is 350 parts per million of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. That’s the number that NASA’s chief climatologist, James Hansen, believes is the maximum amount of CO2 in the atmosphere “if humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted. . .” Three five oh and we have a chance to continue living in a familiar world. More than that and the world itself takes over and finishes the job. Permanently.

The amount of CO2 is now 385ppm and rapidly climbing.

As Bill McKibben notes in his May 11 Los Angeles Times Opinion Piece, “We’re the ones who kicked the warming off; now the planet is starting to take over the job. Melt all that Artic ice, for instance, and suddenly the ice white shield that reflected 80% of the incoming solar radiation back into space has turned to blue water that absorbs 80% of the sun’s heat.” Add to that a warming permafrost giving up massive quantities of methane, vast swaths of dying forest decomposing and releasing even more carbon dioxide, warming seas unable to absorb any CO2, and you begin an unstoppable cascade that slides out of human control and into the end-game: A planet not suited for “civilization.”

Concludes, McKibben, “And we have, at best, a few years to short-circuit [this] – to reverse course. . . . If we did everything right . . . we could see carbon emissions start to fall fairly rapidly . . . Before the century was out, we might even be on track back to 350. We might stop just short of some of those tipping points, like the Road Runner screeching to a halt at the very edge of the cliff.”

Adds “scientist and economist Rajendra Pachauri, who accepted the Nobel Prize on behalf of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, . . . ‘If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment.’”

And as such, surely it is past time for a national/international Alternative Energy Manhattan Project. If Victory Gardens sprouted in backyards all over the country during World War II, why can’t Victory Solar Panels sprout on rooftops throughout the America? Rescind all the subsidies and hidden supports for carbon-burning energy, let the market determine their “real” price and see how quickly cheaper alternative forms appear. Right now, America lags behind so many other countries, which is a disgrace given our ingenuity and resources.

But here’s what our President is doing: Nothing. And here’s what our Congress, in thrall to oil and coal is doing: Next to nothing. And here’s what our military/industrial/corporate/legislative complex is doing: Nothing but Business as Usual, since Profit Now trumps no future at all. And here’s what the American people are doing: Watching “American Idol.” And here’s what some of our Presidential candidates are doing: Pandering for a summer gas tax “holiday,” thereby encouraging people to drive more, burn more gasoline, and put more carbon in the atmosphere, thereby worsening the deadly process.

And what of our eagle-eyed public watchdogs in the Corporate Media? Are they hot on the trail of the biggest story the world has ever seen – the end of civilization as we know it, the destruction of the planet as we know it, a Brave Terrible New World dangerously teetering into being, a world just a few years away from tumbling into an unstoppable ecological Armageddon? Nope. Here’s the important breaking news story of our time: Which Presidential candidate isn’t wearing a little flag lapel pin?

As a sign of national insanity, it doesn’t get clearer than that. Or sadder.

Three Five Oh. Two Oh Twelve. Two Oh Fifteen. While there are many solutions, there are only two clear choices: Act now to reverse direction, or deny, delay and dither. One gives us a future; the other ends it. Perfect circle. Three six oh.

7 comments:

Ron said...

Ann wrote:

"And here’s what some of our Presidential candidates are doing: Pandering for a summer gas tax “holiday... ”

You're right, "some."

Senator Obama called it a "Washington gimmick." (I'm a huge fan of the man.)

”... thereby encouraging people to drive more, burn more gasoline, and put more carbon in the atmosphere, thereby worsening the deadly process.

Five Oh Oh.

About fifteen years ago, I started to tell anyone that would listen, that the best thing that could happen to this country is a five dollar gallon of gas. SUV sales? WAY down! Public transportation? Way up! Consumption? Dropping fast!

"And here’s what the American people are doing: Watching “American Idol.”

You and I line-dry (Plus, at the risk of giving out too much personal information [yet, personal information that I am extremely proud of] my diesel Volkswagens, that I've owned for over 15 years, get 40+ miles to the gallon, and I drive less than 6,000 miles/year (AND I'm about to start running them on waste vegetable oil). I've positioned myself so I don't have to commute for work (thank God for the Internet), but when I did (for my last two office jobs), I commuted by bike everyday. Almost all of my hot water comes from the two dark, long hoses that I have connected together and stretched out in the sun. On even a mild day, the water comes out scorching hot, and a half hour later, it's scorching hot again... unlimited, free hot water that doesn't take a spec of fossil fuel to heat. And, my monthly electric bill is less than $16.00, and I don't even get a propane or gas bill. And, oh yea, I've never watched one second of "American Idol." [Yet, I can name all three judges -- thanks mainstream media!])

Why do I do all of that? First, it's a heck of a lot more fun, and, yes, being as green as I am sure is easy on the pocket book, but, foremost...

"We might stop just short of some of those tipping points, like the Road Runner screeching to a halt at the very edge of the cliff.”

... I just want to have a clean conscious for when the ol' Road Runner's brakes finally go out... and, for when we go to war over oil.

Hey, under-30mpg-vehicle owners that drive to work daily, dry your clothes in a machine, and keep a hot water heater running constantly just so you can have hot water on demand for the tiny percentage of the day that you actually need hot water? How's your conscious?

Ron said...

And a dictionary? Those take trees to make, don't they? (and if someone points me to dictionary.com, you're going to see one pissed-off environmentalist.)

I know... I freaking know: "conscience" was the word I was reaching for.

Unknown said...

Two comments Ron...

I know a guy in Los Osos that has waterpipes running through his attic just under the roofing. He gets scorching hot water all the time just from the heat absorbed from his asphalt shingles... his problem is if he wants cold water.

Second... did you know that most paper comes from a few major paper companies and that they use "new" growth renewable tree "crops" to make paper?

Most people envision old growth forrests of huge mature trees being clear-cut to make paper. Since paper requires the "pulping" of wood, it makes no sense to use big old trees. They use those for the timber industry.

The paper companies grow their own trees to use to make paper... and they maintain huge acreage to sustain the demand.

IN FACT: if you save paper the result would be LESS TREES!!

Less demand would require less acreage of stockpiled trees.

So don't sweat the printed dictionary... or phone books printed by the ton...

If you want to save a tree, stop making houses out of wood.

Realistic1 said...

Ron,

I just love sitting behind those old Volkswagon Diesels (Volvos too) in traffic, choking on the filthy exhaust that then spews particulate on to the ground. And it's really great watching all of that filthy particulate wash into the bay you love so much when it rains.

Hooray for you switching to biofuel.

Churadogs said...

Some of your comments illustrate perfectly the mind set we're in: Neener,neener, neener combined with lack of accurate information. Some time ago, I posted a piece about this scientist that started calculating the carbon footprint of all kinds of things. Came to some astonishing conclusions, like apples shipped in from New Zealand cost LESS carbon than those grown around the corner in Cornwall & etc.

What we need is truly acccurate info, info that will change as more and better data comes on line. For example, one of the fastest ways to conserve energy is to somply make often small steps to conserve: Drive 55 mpg, buy and drive a fuel efficient car,line dry your clothes whenever possible (heck it works 99% of the time here in foggy Los Osos) insulate your house, update your appliances as needed to more efficient ones. Americans WASTE HUGE amounts of energy. Furthermore, we need sane governmental policy that -- as I noted in my column above -- allows REAL prices to float to their REAL level. Had gasoline been pegged at what it REALLY costs -- wars, environmental damage, health damage, etc, all put on the individual gallon -- it's likely it would have gone up to, what? $10 a gallon? You do that and suddenly Americans start getting really energy efficient and alternative fuels suddenly become more affordable. There's so much that can be done NOW, but we need accurate info and a serious US and global policy. Neener-neenering isn't going to accomblish anything, and false info just stops people in their tracks, and lying bout what can or can't be done gives people a helpless feeling so they do Nothing, which is now not an option.

I have little doubt that so much CAN be done in a relatively quick time frame, BUT for that to happen, we need honesty, not self-serving lies from industry and government (our corportocracy) and we have no time to loose.

The decisions Americans make in this next election (and who they elect to Congress & State legislatures) may well determine the fate of the world, since they're all linked. Since so much of the rest of the world is moving ahead of the US. we either get serious and play catch up, or we slide into a second rate power and sink into 2nd world status -- our dream wasted, thrown away by a lazy, deliberabely ignorant populace that allowed itself to be conned out of its birthright for a handful of dross.

*PG-13 said...

Thank you Ann.

You too Ron.

Attaboy's to anybody and everybody who is - by conscious choice - doing any small (or big) thing to save energy, reduce carbon footprint, grow something, recycle, and/or pass the word along. Ann's article made me think about the Doomsday Clock. Remember that? It occurred to me I hadn't seen a Doomsday Clock in quite some time. And I wondered what time it is right now. Like, I mean, is it really time to start worrying?

The Doomsday Clock was first published in 1947 by the Board of Directors of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. It was used to graphically represent - in a way that darn near anybody could understand - the 'minutes to midnight' remaining before catastrophic nuclear destruction. 1947. Think about that. The first two nuclear bombs were dropped in August 1945. Even as those bombs were dropped many scientists - at least those in know - were concerned about the technology and its many ramifications.

> The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists began as an emergency action undertaken by scientists who saw urgent need for an immediate educational program about atomic weapons. One of the purposes of the Bulletin was to educate fellow scientists about the relationship between their world of science and the world of national and international politics. A second was to help the American people understand what nuclear energy and its possible applications to war meant. The Bulletin contributors believed the atom bomb would only be the first of many dangerous presents from 'Pandoras box of modern science.' The aim of the Bulletin was to carry out the long, sustained effort of educating man about the realities of the scientific age.

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists sought to educate citizens, policy makers, scientists, and journalists by providing non-technical, scientifically sound and policy-relevant information about nuclear weapons and other global security issues. The Bulletin also serves as a reliable, high-quality global forum for diverse international opinions on the best means of reducing reliance on nuclear weapons. Since its inception in 1945, the Bulletin has sought to educate the American public of the continual danger posed by nuclear weapons and other global dangers.
(1)

The number of minutes before midnight, a measure of the degree of nuclear, environmental, and technological threats, is updated periodically. The clock was originally set at 7 minutes to midnight. The clock is currently set to five minutes to midnight, having been advanced by two minutes on January 17, 2007. Uh oh :-( And that's the last time the clock was reset. I'll bet'cha we've lost another minute or two since then.

The history of the clock has been largely based upon the threat of nuclear catastrophe. While environmental catastrophe is now being taken into consideration I think the nuclear threat is still the most significant driver. Probably because nuclear tends toward a single point catastrophe while global warming is much more insidious. Think frog in a pot of hot water. (Thank you Al Gore.) Good website here. And an interesting Time Line of the reset points and a short explanation for the reset here. I wonder if midnight represents the actual end or the tipping point after which the end is pretty much a foregone conclusion. If it considers the tipping point the end I think maybe 5 minutes is wishful thinking. Maybe we should be using a stop watch instead? And I think this stopwatch with its rapidly passing seconds should be published and posted everywhere. No place should be out-of-sight or out-of-mind.

Churadogs said...

Yep, Amen and Props to anybody doing anything to lighten their carbon footprint. A gazillion anybodies doing even a little somethings can result in HUGE savings. But the heavy lifting will have to come from a concerted world-wide systemic plan.

As to whether the Doomsday Clock has already reached midnight,according to the L.A. Times article cited, we have a couple of years, which means everybody right now better get on their own dimes since waiting for Washington to act means wasting another Bush Year -- a year the world simply doesn't have to waste.